Absolutely. They will.
With the momentum that Mint already has, it has the highest chance of succeeding as the primary distro for Linux newbies in the coming years.
some long winded thoughts…
Like every PC Semi-enthusiast sufferer of Windows, when I was looking for a Linux distro to respite, I deliberated way too long on which distro to use. Finally I realized that the way I use Windows, I’ll not be able to fully switch over to Linux anytime soon. So instead of burning midnight oil, one day i said fuck it, and installed Mint as a dual boot option. I spent quite a lot of time trying to make the Mint as close to my Windows setup as possible, but couldn’t do fully. Plus the VKD3D performance penalty for Nvidia GPU in DX12 games meant I was never going to ditch Windows as my primary gaming OS.
Mint all the way.
Look, I know that there will never be consensus with this topic, but I genuinely believe Mint has the potential to become posterboy for the Linux boom.
It’s not just about the path of least resistance (i.e., ease of use and learning with safety wheels), but it’s also about setting the fundamentals strong and limiting them to maintainable manageable levels. Which I felt Mint walks the line pretty succinctly.
There’s a song called ‘No More Fucks to Give’, all time banger (you should listen to it if you haven’t), it made me have a small realization that you have only a limited amount of Fucks you can give in life, and I feel like same should be a good soft rule any distro to adhere to.